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Educational Recap — Charts For Reference Only This page summarizes the concepts and process Matt covered on the live call. Charts below show real live price action from TradingView — they are provided for reference, not as our own trade calls. This page shows no entry/stop/target levels of our own; for live setups and alerts, follow Matt directly.
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Mr M Trades
Live Call Recap Mr M Trades
RECORDED · 28 AUG 2026 · 69 MIN Episode 011
SESSION RECAP · 28 AUG 2026

The Tape Was Flat. The Speech Was The Day. New Leadership Emerging — Biotech, Metals, Cybersecurity — While FNGR Reversed Live.

Friday's session was a quiet tape in front of the Jackson Hole keynote. NVIDIA closed down ~2%, RSP pulled back, and only 161 stocks had advanced yesterday on the index — a textbook narrow-leadership tape that Matt was managing exposure on, not fighting. Then mid-session, FNGR halted up 100%+ from the $0.31 entry, only to reverse and break the 8-day MA live on the call. The halt was the lesson, not the trade. Throughout, Matt was rotating into the next leaders setting up: biotech (XBI, Moderna, TWST), metals & mining (XME, SCCO, FSM, Aya, CDE), cybersecurity (CRWD holding), and consumer-discretionary names like Affirm on a cup-and-handle 87 → 89 breakout and Twilio follow-through. Don't love the stocks. Take the profits. Move the stops. Follow the plan.

Market Stance
FLAT TAPE · NARROW BREADTH
Sector Rotation
BIOTECH · METALS · CYBER
Forward Gate
WARSH JACKSON HOLE
⏱ Next Live Session
MON 31 AUG · 12:30 UTC
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LAST DAY OF AUGUST · MRM DAILY LIVE CALL

Section 1 · Market State

Quiet pre-market · NVDA down ~2% · breadth failing beneath the headlines
Live Call · 28 Aug 2026
NVDA

Down ~2% · Range-Bound Since April

ReadCONSOLIDATING POST-EARNINGS
RSP

Equal-Weight Pulling Back

ReadNARROW LEADERSHIP PERSISTS
Breadth

161 Stocks Advanced Yesterday

ReadNO BROAD PARTICIPATION
KNIME

Exposure Index 98.39

GatePROFESSIONALS AT PEAK
September

Historically Worst Month

ReadCAUTION INTO MONTH-END
Emerging 1

XBI / TWST / Moderna

PatternBIOTECH LEADERSHIP
Emerging 2

XME / SCCO / FSM

PatternMETALS & MINING ROTATION
Reversal Live

FNGR Halt → 8-Day MA Break

LessonCUT, MOVE STOPS, DON'T LOVE
Trigger

Micron $1,040 Close

GateNEXT LEG UP ABOVE $1,040

Section 2 · The Jackson Hole Question

Warsh's keynote sets the tone for September · the answer to one question is the day's pivot

The Day Pivots On One Question. The Tape Was Just The Warm-Up.

Friday morning the tape was flat — very quiet pre-market for both momentum and swings — and Matt's read was direct: the morning's gonna be quiet because Warsh is up at 10. The Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium keynote at 10:00 a.m. MT (Moran, Wyoming) is the day's defining event. The market is pricing ~35% odds of a September hike and ~75% odds of a pause, with PCE running at 3.7% against the Fed's 2% target and the two-year yield around 4.68%.

The single question Matt is watching Warsh answer: is current monetary policy restrictive enough? Some officials clearly think no. Warsh is expected to deliberately reduce forward guidance, so the September hike is unlikely — but the language on inflation persistence, hawkish tone, employment downside, and any mention of AI productivity is what will move the 10-year, 30-year, and dollar. The framework: the morning's quiet is the warm-up. The 10 a.m. tape is the real tape.

Section 3 · Catalyst Board

Gates shaping the day and the week ahead
Catalyst 01

Warsh Jackson Hole Keynote

Setup10:00 AM MT · MORAN, WYO.
Catalyst 02

KNIME Exposure at 98.39

GateEVERY PEAK PRECEDED A SELL-OFF
Catalyst 03

September Worst Month

SetupHISTORICALLY WEAK · POSITION SIZE

Today's Verdict

Friday was a quiet-tape day wrapped around one gate event. The morning was flat, NVDA closed down ~2%, RSP pulled back, and only 161 stocks had advanced the day before — a textbook narrow-leadership tape that Matt was managing exposure on, not fighting. The FNGR reversal live on the call (halted up 100%+ from $0.31, then broke the 8-day MA) was the lesson the room needed most: don't love the stock, take the profits, move the stops, follow the plan. The keynote question Warsh has to answer — is current monetary policy restrictive enough? — will set the tone for September, which is historically the worst-performing month. Meanwhile the new leadership kept setting up: biotech (XBI, TWST, Moderna), metals & mining (XME, SCCO, FSM), cybersecurity (CRWD), and individual setups like Affirm cup-and-handle (87 → 89) and Twilio follow-through. Micron sits coiled — close above $1,040 = next leg up. Don't predict the catalyst. Manage the exposure. Trade the leaders that are breaking out. Let the plan do the work.

The Concepts

The pattern and the lesson behind each name discussed
Charts show live price only — no entry/stop/target of ours
FNGR
The Reversal Live — Don't Love The Stock
Live Lesson

Halted up 100%+ from the $0.31 entry mid-session. Then reversed and broke the 8-day MA — the trailing-stop line. Matt's framing: "you don't know what's going to happen. That's the rule. It broke the level, it's your stop loss, you cut it, you move on." The trap is human nature: if it bounces back, you'll say you should have stayed. But the probability now favors the downside. Unless it builds a new base and reclaims the high, you don't re-enter. Lesson: FOMO is not a strategy. Take profits on sharp rallies, move stops to protect capital, and stop loving stocks.

NVDA
The Consolidation — Nothing Wrong, Nothing New
Holding

Down ~2% on the day after yesterday's earnings-bounce. Still range-bound since April. Matt's read for an Anurag who was jumpy: "there's nothing wrong with NVIDIA. The plan continues." Full position retained because the earnings were phenomenal, the guidance was incredible, and the post-consolidation follow-through moved the market. The trade: let it develop. Take some off the top when it moves. Move the stop when it's time. Lesson: decide if you're day-trading or swing-trading. If you're swinging, you need to let the leaders develop.

MU
The Coiled Trigger — $1,040 Close
On Watch

Has been trading choppy after the prior run from $160 → $260 → consolidation → breakout. Matt's read: "when Micron breaks $1,040 and closes above that level, it will explode — that will be the next leg up." Until then it's just chop. Many entries posted on the prior move (e.g. $943) ran 100 points in three days, then pulled back — the lesson in action. Traded from $160 to $260 was the easy trade. The current setup is the harder one. Wait for the close above $1,040, or it's speculation.

AFRM
The Cup & Handle — 87 Pivot, 89 Follow-Through
Setup

Trying to climb back into the pivot-point breakout. Cup-and-handle around 87, with the breakout follow-through trigger at 89. Matt's framing: "if it can break above 87 and follow through at 89, that's what I would like to see." The trade is the trigger, not the prediction. Watch for the close above 89 with volume — that's the confirmation, that's the entry.

CRWD
The Cybersecurity Hold — Don't Break Yesterday's Low
Holding

Matt's read: "I don't want to see it breaking below yesterday's low, although consolidation is still intact." The pattern is post-earnings consolidation; the trigger is a hold above yesterday's low. CrowdStrike was a featured name in yesterday's recap (live entry at $214.50) and remains the cleanest expression of the cybersecurity rotation thesis. If the base holds, the trade continues. If the low breaks, the regime has changed.

TWST
The Multi-Year Base — Biotech Leadership Watch
On Watch

Twist Biosciences on a multi-year weekly base. Sitting on Matt's watchlist alongside XBI and Moderna. The setup generalizes the biotech theme: a long consolidation that resolved into leadership is one of the cleanest structures you can find. The pattern: longer base = higher conviction breakout, but you need the volume confirmation.

XME
The Metals & Mining Rotation
Emerging

Broader exposure for the metals trade. Top holdings Matt named: silver (Aya), gold/silver plays, FSM, SCCO for copper, CDE — the new leadership emerging. Silver itself needs to break above 65 (Matt said "200 daylight 65" on the chart — the 200-day MA around 65), but XME is the cleaner exposure. Don't pick the single name when the ETF is breaking out — the basket is the trade.

TWLO
The Follow-Through — Pushing Up Nicely
Holding

Pushing up nicely from yesterday's position. Continuation follow-through after the post-earnings breakout setup. The lesson: leaders that confirm with a second-day push are the ones that travel the furthest. Match the stop to the pattern — momentum gets a tight stop, bases get a wider one.

Theme Pulse · Two Narratives

New leadership emerging · narrow tape persists · the gate event is the pivot

Narrative A · New Leadership Setting Up

Biotech (XBI / TWST / Moderna) · Metals (XME / SCCO) · Cyber (CRWD) · Affirm 87→89

Capital is rotating out of the AI/memory trade that carried the market from April and into fresh leadership. Biotech is setting up across XBI, Moderna, and Twist Biosciences on a multi-year weekly base. Metals & mining is the cleanest emerging trade — XME as the basket, SCCO for copper, FSM and Aya as silver/gold names. Cybersecurity continues to push higher with CrowdStrike leading. Affirm is cup-and-handle at 87 with a 89 follow-through trigger. The pattern is the same across all of them: long consolidation, leaders breaking out, capital flowing in. Don't predict the catalyst — trade the leaders that are breaking out.

Evidence: XBI / TWST setting up · XME / SCCO / FSM / Aya / CDE all named · Affirm cup-and-handle 87 → 89 · CRWD holding leadership · TWLO follow-through pushing higher.

Narrative B · Narrow Tape · Manage The Exposure

161 stocks advanced · RSP falling · KNIME 98.39 · September worst month

Underneath the leadership rotation the tape is still narrow. Only 161 stocks advanced yesterday on the index, NVDA closed down ~2% on Friday, RSP pulled back, and the KNIME professional-exposure index hit 98.39 — a level that has preceded a sell-off every single prior time it has appeared. September is historically the worst-performing month. Position sizing has to assume the regime can change on a single headline. Anything up more than 5% on a narrow tape — you know what to do. Manage exposure, move stops, wait for Warsh.

Evidence: 161 advancing stocks · RSP pulling back · NVDA range-bound · KNIME 98.39 · September worst month historically · Friday's tape quiet before the keynote.

Discipline

The most important message from today's call
The priority · The non-negotiable

Don't Love The Stock. Take The Profits. Move The Stops. Follow The Plan.

FOMO is not a strategy · the size is the trade

"something weird happens with the people when they are in profit, and they're starting to believe that they are invincible." Matt walked through the FNGR reversal live — a name that had run 100%+ from entry, halted on the way up, then broke the 8-day MA. Your stop was the level. The level broke. You cut it. You move on. The rule applies to every name: "if your stock is up, take some money off the table, move your stop loss above the entry."

The FNGR example generalized into a confession from the room: chase, hope, panic-sell, fail to cut losers, lower stops, buy the dip on a story. Matt has done every one of them. "I promise you that everyone here has been through that, and if you haven't been, then you probably will be." The fix is not a better story. The fix is a plan with a strategy — written down before the entry — and the discipline to execute it when the price tells you to.

And the bigger framing: "the S&P average return annually is 10%. Why aren't you happy with a 10% move in three days on a single stock?" Greed is the most expensive line item in the P&L. Take the profit. Don't love the stock. FOMO is not a strategy. The lottery is always won by somebody else. Rules, no emotions. Don't love stocks. Have a strategy. Follow the plan.

Pre-Trade Checklist

Five checks. Every time. No exceptions.
Saved on this device
Risk defined? Stop loss is set before the entry. The number is written down.
Position sized? Size matches the stop. The trade can be wrong without damaging the account.
Key level identified? The trigger (breakout, reclaim, support hold) is clear and unambiguous.
Confirmation present? Setup isn't chasing. Structure is doing the work — base, reclaim, trigger.
Thesis documented? Why this trade, why now, what proves it right, what proves it wrong. One line each.
Exit plan ready? Targets are listed in order. Invalidation is named. Both are written before entry.
Why this matters: A great setup with bad sizing becomes a great loss. A mediocre setup with perfect sizing becomes a small win. The size is the trade — and that math is yours to do, on your own numbers, in your own broker.
Saved