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The 10-year hits a post-GFC high, rate pressure takes control, and the rule becomes tighter stops—not bigger positions.
Nasdaq digests its high, Micron shows why volatility contraction matters, and Zscaler and Palantir become the actionable setups.
Nasdaq reaches highs while RSP lags, memory breaks out, and the written plan keeps entries patient and disciplined.
A toppy tape reinforces the rule: trade leaders at new highs, not cheap laggards; ARM, MU, and NTAP lead the board.
The Fed hikes 25 bps, the flush thesis moves to RSP 211, and AMD opens as a micro-starter while the AI memory war becomes the next fork.
Breadth hits the weakest reading of the year, FOMC becomes the live catalyst, and IGV, OKTA, PAY, META, ANET, and RBRK define the setup board.
The tape turns untradable, cash becomes the best position, and AVGO, ANET, META, SK Hynix, and AMD stay on the narrow watchlist.
Risk-off broadens across the tape, but memory and optics hold relative strength while exposure stays near 40% into PPI, CPI, and FOMC gates.
Memory hits three of four confirmations, SK Hynix leads the cohort, Bloom Energy opens live, and the rule stays confirmation over chase.
Ag rotation becomes the lead trade, Dell gets blacklisted after the failed follow-through, and the call leans hard into understanding why moves happen.
Seven warning signs flash, NVIDIA becomes the post-earnings lesson, and the plan shifts defensive into PANW and the September FOMC.
The tape stayed flat into Jackson Hole, FNGR reversed live, and new leadership kept setting up across biotech, metals, and cybersecurity.
NVIDIA bounced, breadth stayed narrow, software rotation confirmed, and four new live positions opened in CRWD, CRM, NOW, and TWLO.
The tape turns untradeable, exposure gets cut, and defense becomes the trade with GDX and XME carrying the relative-strength case.
Macro noise stays loud, the tape stays choppy, and AAPL above the $319.30 pivot is the only clean swing setup worth acting on.
Yields fall, rotation broadens into healthcare, biotech, and energy, and the LLY Stage 2 breakout brings the new risk-management rules into focus.
The 30-year yield shock drives a macro pullback, SanDisk goes risk-free, and the focus shifts to sectors and names showing the strongest relative strength.
Memory leads, ALAB and AOI open live as new AI starters, and the core lesson is to wait for repeatable Stage 2 setups instead of bottom-fishing.
Cancel-on-halt becomes the canonical rule of the week, DELL and NBIS go risk-free, IRON is the no-trade counter-example, and FGI remains the verified breakout watch.
CPI lands in line, September hike odds get hit, and Matt opens NBIS plus a DELL re-entry while stage analysis stays the framework.
Breadth stays long, PLTR is initiated live, AUUD becomes the momentum model, and CPI Wednesday is the gate.
The post-FTD pullback stays healthy, payment processing emerges as the rotation candidate, and RTX becomes the only high-conviction swing.
The follow-through day confirms breadth-long, leadership rotates beyond AI and memory, and the cycle rule becomes tight entries without chasing.
Breadth says long, QQQ says wait, the 50%-lock rule is the work, and the new 4-ETF long-term basket gets built live.
The $4.7B retail-buy trap, Nasdaq follow-through timing, and live long-term initiations in AMZN and GOOGL.
Relief-rally caution, Nasdaq follow-through rules, and the hyperscaler FCF verdict heading into AMZN and AAPL.
Fed reaction, hyperscaler risk, confirmation-led setups, and the Stage 4 price-action lesson.
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